Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 41.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amorebieta would win this match.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Mirandes
41.33% ( -0.49)	29.8% ( 0.17)	28.86% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 41.34% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.57% (

-0.41)

65.43% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.81% (

-0.28)

84.19% (

0.28)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

-0.49)

31.26% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38% (

-0.57)

67.61% (

0.57)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.15% (

0.03)

39.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.48% (

0.03)

76.52% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 41.33%

Mirandes 28.86%

Draw 29.79%

Amorebieta	Draw	Mirandes
1-0 @ 14.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.33%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.79%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.86%