Cartagena

1 - 3

Zaragoza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 35.47%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.