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Celtic logo
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Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Hearts logo

Motherwell
3 - 1
Hearts

McGinn (24'), O'Donnell (60'), Sparrow (81')
Halliday (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oda (65')
Kent (45+1'), Devlin (58'), Salazar (62'), Kingsley (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Hearts
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Hearts

While Hearts boast more quality throughout their ranks than their hosts, they certainly face a tough test away at a rejuvenated Motherwell side on the back of a taxing midweek effort on the continent, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome at Fir Park as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHearts
50.52% (0.253 0.25) 24.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.87% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.194 -0.19)49.22% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.175 -0.17)71.28% (0.172 0.17)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.025000000000006 0.03)19.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)34.28% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02% (-0.342 -0.34)70.98% (0.339 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 50.51%
    Hearts 24.87%
    Draw 24.6%
MotherwellDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 50.51%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hearts

Motherwell
38.9%
Draw
22.2%
Hearts
38.9%
36
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Shankland (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Shankland (23')

Kettlewell (24'), Zdravkovski (69'), Nicholson (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Motherwell
1-2
Hearts
Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hearts
0-1
Motherwell

Devlin (71')
Slattery (29')
McGinn (36'), Casey (71'), Shaw (90')
McGinn (69')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Obika (40'), Spittal (46')
Nov 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
3-2
Motherwell
Halliday (45', 47'), Shankland (89' pen.)
Moult (61' pen.), Spittal (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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