Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Motherwell3 - 1Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup
We said: Motherwell 1-1 Hearts
While Hearts boast more quality throughout their ranks than their hosts, they certainly face a tough test away at a rejuvenated Motherwell side on the back of a taxing midweek effort on the continent, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome at Fir Park as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
50.52% ( 0.25) | 24.61% ( -0) | 24.87% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
