Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Ross County win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
34.22% ( -0.04) | 24.77% ( -0) | 41.01% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% ( -0.01) | 44.94% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.7% ( -0.01) | 67.3% ( 0) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( -0.03) | 25.5% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% ( -0.03) | 60.34% ( 0.03) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( 0.01) | 21.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( 0.02) | 55.17% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |