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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Aberdeen logo

Motherwell
0 - 1
Aberdeen


Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen

Aberdeen might be trying their hardest to try and turn the season around and avoid relegation, but this fixture is likely not going to be the one where points start coming. Motherwell should have too much power and quality for the Dons to handle, particularly with the lack of confidence the away side boasts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
44.02% (0.189 0.19) 24.25% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 31.73% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 59.13% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)65.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.083000000000013 0.08)19.85% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.129 0.13)51.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.104 -0.1)26.22% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (-0.142 -0.14)61.33% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 44.02%
    Aberdeen 31.73%
    Draw 24.24%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Aberdeen
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
1-2
Aberdeen
McKinstry (55')
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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