Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.02% ( 0.19) | 24.25% ( -0.01) | 31.73% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 59.13% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.68% ( -0) | 43.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.28% ( -0) | 65.72% ( 0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.15% ( 0.08) | 19.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.05% ( 0.13) | 51.94% ( -0.12) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( -0.1) | 26.22% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( -0.14) | 61.33% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |