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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
1 - 0
Motherwell

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGinn (56')
Vale (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell

Despite their recent improvements on the road, Motherwell have their work cut out as they take on an Aberdeen side whom they have failed to get the better of since August 2022. Aberdeen's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
45.83% (-0.104 -0.1) 24.79% (0.02 0.02) 29.37% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 56% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)46.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)69.12% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)20.51% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99% (-0.102 -0.1)53% (0.105 0.1)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (0.034999999999997 0.03)29.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (0.040999999999997 0.04)65.57% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 45.84%
    Motherwell 29.37%
    Draw 24.78%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.37%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
100%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
0-1
Aberdeen

Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
1-2
Aberdeen
McKinstry (55')
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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