Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
45.83% ( -0.1) | 24.79% ( 0.02) | 29.37% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 56% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( -0.05) | 46.86% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( -0.04) | 69.12% ( 0.05) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.49% ( -0.06) | 20.51% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.99% ( -0.1) | 53% ( 0.1) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% ( 0.03) | 29.55% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.43% ( 0.04) | 65.57% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 29.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |