Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
54.14% ( 0.43) | 23.04% ( 0.09) | 22.82% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 55.65% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( -1) | 44.47% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( -0.98) | 66.84% ( 0.97) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% ( -0.21) | 16.35% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.04% ( -0.38) | 45.96% ( 0.37) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% ( -1.03) | 33.47% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.9% ( -1.13) | 70.1% ( 1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |