MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:04:00| >> :600:398414:398414:
Montrose
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Links Park
Motherwell logo

Montrose
1 - 1
Motherwell

Shrive (86', 87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Blaney (31')
Paton (78')
Motherwell win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Montrose and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Partick 3-2 Montrose
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Motherwell 3-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Montrose 1-4 Motherwell

 Although Montrose demonstrated their ability to create chances in their last League Cup outing, the fact that they conceded 11 minutes after equalising highlights a potential defensive vulnerability. Additionally, as a top-flight side, Motherwell come into the game as strong favourites ahead of their League One opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 56.71%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%).

Result
MontroseDrawMotherwell
22.14% (-0.535 -0.54) 21.15% (-0.231 -0.23) 56.71% (0.77 0.77)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.46% (0.447 0.45)36.54% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.31% (0.48399999999999 0.48)58.69% (-0.479 -0.48)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.202 -0.2)29.65% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.248 -0.25)65.69% (0.253 0.25)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (0.37599999999999 0.38)12.82% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85% (0.765 0.77)39.15% (-0.761 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Montrose 22.14%
    Motherwell 56.72%
    Draw 21.15%
MontroseDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-0 @ 4.62% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 2.81% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 22.14%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.052 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.68% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.49% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.43% (0.098 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.82% (0.096 0.1)
2-4 @ 2.09% (0.048 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.41% (0.059 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 56.72%

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