Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 15.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Montrose win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
15.51% ( 0.55) | 17.62% ( 0.09) | 66.87% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 61.75% ( 1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.61% ( 0.76) | 30.39% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.34% ( 0.91) | 51.66% ( -0.91) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% ( 1.16) | 32.54% ( -1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( 1.28) | 69.07% ( -1.29) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.55% ( 0.06) | 8.45% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.67% ( 0.16) | 29.33% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 15.51% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.62% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) 1-6 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 66.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |