Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.