Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tambov win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tambov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%).