Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 21, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
4 - 2
Tondela

Piazon (18', 50'), Horta (40'), Novais (42')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Anne (84'), Jaquite (90+4')
Martinez (22'), Arcanjo (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Tondela
66.23%	19.57%	14.21%

Both teams to score 50.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25%

42.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.84%

65.15%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.96%

12.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.48%

37.52%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84%

42.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43%

78.57%

Score Analysis

Braga 66.22%

Tondela 14.21%

Draw 19.57%

Braga	Draw	Tondela
2-0 @ 11.37% 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 4.25% 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.47% Total : 66.22%	1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.57%	0-1 @ 4.38% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.21%