Forest U21s4 - 3Aston Villa U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
41.5% ( 0.23) | 22.03% ( 0.05) | 36.47% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 69.07% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.03% ( -0.32) | 30.96% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.65% ( -0.38) | 52.34% ( 0.38) |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.16% ( -0.04) | 15.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.97% ( -0.08) | 45.03% ( 0.08) |
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( -0.27) | 17.93% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( -0.46) | 48.74% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.86% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
2 | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
4 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 37 |
5 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
8 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 23 |
9 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 1 |
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