MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:32:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground

Aston Villa U21s
3 - 0
Derby U21s

Afoka (52', 69'), Feeney (65')
Feeney (30'), Kesler (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunn (84')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich U21s 1-3 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-5 WBA U21s
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 64.56%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 17.98% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
64.56% (0.503 0.5) 17.46% (-0.21 -0.21) 17.98% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 68.38% (0.264 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.37% (0.545 0.55)24.63% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.57% (0.71700000000001 0.72)44.43% (-0.714 -0.71)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (0.247 0.25)7.4% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.33% (0.636 0.64)26.66% (-0.635 -0.63)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.15% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (0.117 0.12)61.23% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 64.56%
    Derby County Under-21s 17.98%
    Draw 17.46%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 3.33% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.74% (0.055 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.49% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 64.56%
1-1 @ 6.76% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.94% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.46%
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.6% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 17.98%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
Derby U21s
0-2
Aston Villa U21s
Afoka (11'), Firth (63')
Smith (74')
rhs 2.0
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