Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 57.12%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
23.22% ( 0.53)	19.65% ( 0.15)	57.12% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 68.63% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.22% (

-0.06)

27.78% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.53% (

-0.07)

48.46% (

0.07)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2% (

0.36)

23.8% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.04% (

0.51)

57.96% (

-0.5)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.07% (

-0.18)

9.93% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.15% (

-0.42)

32.85% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 23.23%

Southampton Under-21s 57.12%

Draw 19.65%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.23%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.65%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.91% Total : 57.12%