Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.4%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.