Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Sunderland Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
15.12% ( -0.55)	16.54% ( -0.32)	68.34% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 65.25% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.26% (

0.43)

25.74% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.12% (

0.56)

45.88% (

-0.56)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14% (

-0.33)

29.86% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05% (

-0.4)

65.96% (

0.4)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.03% (

0.27)

6.97% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.47% (

0.73)

25.53% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Sunderland Under-21s 15.12%

Aston Villa Under-21s 68.34%

Draw 16.54%

Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.24% Total : 15.12%	1-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.54%	1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 5.28% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.37% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 2.81% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 2.33% ( 0.1) 2-5 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.99% Total : 68.34%