MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 19:42:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 31, 2023 at 7pm UK
Loughborough University Football Stadium

Derby U21s
1 - 3
Saints U21s

Brown (60')
Kelly (76'), Perry (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armitage (9'), Amo-Ameyaw (57'), Doyle (90')
Hewlett (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby U21s 1-5 Boro U21s
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Saints U21s
Friday, March 17 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.08%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.18%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
8.64% (-0.567 -0.57) 12.28% (-0.423 -0.42) 79.08% (0.99300000000001 0.99)
Both teams to score 60.6% (-0.745 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.1% (0.238 0.24)21.9% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.24% (0.326 0.33)40.75% (-0.323 -0.32)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.90800000000001 -0.91)36.63% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (-0.922 -0.92)73.42% (0.926 0.93)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.63% (0.19199999999999 0.19)4.37% (-0.1901 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.95% (0.589 0.59)18.04% (-0.586 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 8.64%
    Southampton Under-21s 79.08%
    Draw 12.28%
Derby County Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 2.53% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-0 @ 1.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 8.64%
1-1 @ 5.03% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-0 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 12.28%
1-3 @ 8.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.18% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.84% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 6.43% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 6.41% (0.234 0.23)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-5 @ 4.03% (0.104 0.1)
0-5 @ 4.01% (0.199 0.2)
2-4 @ 3.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-6 @ 2.1% (0.082 0.08)
0-6 @ 2.09% (0.131 0.13)
2-5 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-6 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
1-7 @ 0.94% (0.049 0.05)
0-7 @ 0.94% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 79.08%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Saints U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Doyle (17'), Morgan (21'), Ballard (90+5')

Ibrahim (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!