Derby U21s1 - 3Saints U21s
Kelly (76'), Perry (85')
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Friday, March 17 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.08%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.18%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.
Result | ||
Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
8.64% ( -0.57) | 12.28% ( -0.42) | 79.08% ( 0.99) |
Both teams to score 60.6% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.1% ( 0.24) | 21.9% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.24% ( 0.33) | 40.75% ( -0.32) |
Derby County Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( -0.91) | 36.63% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% ( -0.92) | 73.42% ( 0.93) |
Southampton Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.63% ( 0.19) | 4.37% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.95% ( 0.59) | 18.04% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
2-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.19% Total : 8.64% | 1-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.31% Total : 12.28% | 1-3 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.18% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 6.43% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 6.41% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 4.03% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 4.01% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 0-6 @ 2.09% ( 0.13) 2-5 @ 2.02% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 2-6 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 1-7 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) 0-7 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.48% Total : 79.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
2 | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
4 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 37 |
5 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
8 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 23 |
9 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 1 |
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