Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 3-1 (5.7%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
