Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Puszcza Niepolomice
67.88% ( 0.03)	19.18% ( -0)	12.94% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

-0.03)

43.91% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

-0.03)

66.3% (

0.03)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.08%

11.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.72% (

-0)

37.28% (

Puszcza Niepolomice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.21% (

-0.06)

44.79% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.23% (

-0.04)

80.77% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 67.86%

Puszcza Niepolomice 12.94%

Draw 19.18%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Puszcza Niepolomice
2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 67.86%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.18%	0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 12.94%