Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Tarczynski Arena

Slask Wroclaw
3 - 1
Lech Poznan

Exposito (37', 73'), Szwedzik (90+2')
Pokorny (14'), Konczkowski (46'), Zukowski (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Velde (51' pen.)
Czerwinski (11'), Szymczak (16'), Dagerstal (75'), Karlstrom (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slask Wroclaw

All competitions

Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Spartak Trnava 3-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46%. A win for Slask Wroclaw had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Slask Wroclaw win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Slask Wroclaw	Draw	Lech Poznan
28.23% ( 0.06)	25.77% ( 0.01)	46% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

0.01)

51.6% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

0.01)

73.39% (

-0)

Slask Wroclaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

0.05)

32.83% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

0.05)

69.4% (

-0.05)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

-0.02)

22.4% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

-0.04)

55.92% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Slask Wroclaw 28.23%

Lech Poznan 46%

Draw 25.76%

Slask Wroclaw	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.23%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46%