MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 14:52:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
Rakow

Lech Poznan
4 - 1
Rakow

Gurgul (7'), Marchwinski (25'), Velde (72'), Ba Loua (90+3')
Karlstrom (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sorescu (2')
Lederman (56'), Kovacevic (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-5 Rakow
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
49.31% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.13% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)74.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)21.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.45% (0.058 0.06)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.78% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 49.3%
    Rakow Czestochowa 25.13%
    Draw 25.56%
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Rakow

Lech Poznan
Draw
Rakow Czestochowa
Lech Poznan
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Rakow Czestochowa
55.6%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Rakow CzestochowaRakow25157337162152
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia25156447301751
3Lech Poznan25162747212650
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin25134841281343
5Legia WarsawLegia25117748351340
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik2512493629740
7KS CracoviaCracovia2510874439538
8Motor Lublin2510693544-936
9Katowice2596103331233
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice258982626033
11Korona Kielce258982431-733
12Radomiak Radom2594123439-531
13Widzew Lodz2586112839-1130
14Puszcza Niepolomice2567122435-1125
15Stal Mielec2565142638-1223
16Zaglebie Lubin2565142138-1723
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2556142644-1821
18Slask Wroclaw2539132539-1418


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