Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
