Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wealdstone in this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Fylde |
38.38% ( -0.22) | 25.54% ( -0.04) | 36.08% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.84% ( 0.21) | 48.15% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.68% ( 0.19) | 70.31% ( -0.19) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( -0.02) | 24.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( -0.03) | 59.18% ( 0.03) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% ( 0.25) | 25.93% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% ( 0.34) | 60.93% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.38% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 36.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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