We said: Rennes 2-0 Saint-Etienne
After a solid 5-0 win last time out, Rennes are expected to follow that up with another victory against a side in the bottom half of the table and low on confidence.
Their contrasting league positions make the hosts strong favourites for this tie, and Saint-Etienne are certain to be in for a tough test this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 77.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.