Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.