Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for an Angers win it was 2-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Monaco |
15.56% ( 0.01) | 19.31% ( 0.01) | 65.13% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( -0.02) | 38.67% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% ( -0.02) | 60.97% ( 0.02) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.22% ( -0) | 37.78% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.44% ( -0) | 74.56% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.86% ( -0.01) | 11.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.4% ( -0.02) | 35.6% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 4.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 15.56% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.31% | 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.79% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 4.27% Total : 65.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |