Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 2, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
4 - 3
Strasbourg

Vanderson (19'), Ben Seghir (54'), Diop (58'), Fofana (65')
Camara (40'), Fofana (45+3')
Fofana (78')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mothiba (32'), Maripan (41' og.), Diallo (90+3')
Diarra (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Monaco 2-1 Strasbourg

The form table suggests Monaco may struggle in this one despite the huge difference in league positions. However, their win last time out against Ajaccio may give them confidence, even if Strasbourg impressively held Marseille in their last away outing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Strasbourg
61.34%	20.66%	17.99%

Both teams to score 55.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.59%

40.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.21%

62.78%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.29%

12.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.08%

38.91%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06%

35.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.28%

72.72%

Score Analysis

Monaco 61.34%

Strasbourg 17.99%

Draw 20.66%

Monaco	Draw	Strasbourg
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.84% 3-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.34%	1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 4.93% 0-1 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.99%