La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 2
Espanyol

Lopez (38'), Lino (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Montes (40'), Braithwaite (50')
Montes (12'), Gil (37'), Vidal (90'), Braithwaite (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Valencia
Thursday, May 25 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 24 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 1-1 Espanyol

With three points separating them from safety, Espanyol will be desperate to claim an away victory, but with their last two games against Valencia ending all square, we think that Sunday's contest will produce another draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Espanyol
53.44% ( -5.01)	25.09% ( 1.94)	21.48% ( 3.07)

Both teams to score 47.62% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74% (

-3.75)

54.25% (

3.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-3.23)

75.65% (

3.22)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

-3.3)

20.29% (

3.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.34% (

-5.55)

52.65% (

5.55)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.74% (

1.17)

40.25% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.12% (

1.05)

76.88% (

-1.06)

Score Analysis

Valencia 53.42%

Espanyol 21.48%

Draw 25.08%

Valencia	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.73) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.55) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.42%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 1.23) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.48%