Eredivisie | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
We said: FC Utrecht 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam
With both teams in good form, this should prove to be a competitive tie over the second legs. Goals have not been in short supply for either side, and it leads us to predict an entertaining share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.75% . A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%) . The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood .
Result FC Utrecht Draw Sparta Rotterdam 47.75% ( 0.11) 24.13% ( 0.01) 28.12% ( -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.12)
55.32% ( -0.11) 44.68% ( 0.11)
32.95% ( -0.11) 67.04% ( 0.11)
81.17% ( -0.01) 18.83%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.72% ( -0.01) 50.27% ( 0)
70.67% ( -0.14) 29.32% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.7% ( -0.17) 65.3% ( 0.17)
FC Utrecht 47.75%
Sparta Rotterdam 28.12%
Draw 24.13%
FC Utrecht Draw Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.75% 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.13% 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.12%
How you voted: Utrecht vs Sparta
FC Utrecht
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
9
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-14 07:29:56
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