Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna1 - 1Atalanta
We said: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta BC
Bologna could be bound for a remarkable seventh successive home draw, as they are set to score against hit-and-miss Atalanta but are also likely to be caught out at the other end. The teams finished side-by-side in Serie A last season, and for all La Dea's individual quality, the Europa League winners tend to struggle on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
48.82% ( -0.46) | 26.07% ( 0.09) | 25.11% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
