Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 3-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.