MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:55:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
Etihad Stadium

Man City U21s
4 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Lawrence (18'), Alfa-Ruprecht (26'), Dickson (36'), Oboavwoduo (85')
Heskey (70')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Moore (72')
Katsukunya (30')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd U21s 1-3 Man City U21s
Saturday, September 21 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-1 Blackburn U21s
Saturday, September 21 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.19%) and 3-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
41.03% (0.17 0.17) 20.11% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 38.86% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 77.18% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.2% (0.22500000000001 0.23)20.8% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.77% (0.317 0.32)39.23% (-0.319 -0.32)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (0.148 0.15)11.8% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.99% (0.319 0.32)37.01% (-0.322 -0.32)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (0.055999999999997 0.06)12.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.51% (0.12 0.12)38.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Under-21s 41.03%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 38.86%
    Draw 20.11%
Manchester City Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 5.19% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.77% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.67% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.92% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 41.03%
2-2 @ 7.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-1 @ 6.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 3.6% (0.025 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 38.86%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 6pm
Man City U21s
4-4
Aston Villa U21s
Oboavwoduo (13', 45+3'), Sodje (28'), Alfa-Ruprecht (89')
Simpson-Pusey (21'), Galvez (45+4'), Wright (53')
Patterson (1'), Kellyman (11', 41'), O'Reilly (22')
Patterson (26'), Zych (55')
rhs 2.0
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