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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Atalanta logo

Bologna
1 - 0
Atalanta

Ferguson (86')
Posch (30'), Freuler (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Piero Gasperini (26'), de Roon (69'), Zappacosta (79'), Hateboer (88'), Scamacca (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Bologna 2-1 Atalanta BC

Saturday's result could swing either way, but Bologna ought to claim their third impressive triumph inside six days with a marginal victory over Atalanta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bologna.

Result
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
36.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 28.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 34.69% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)59.79% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.92% (-0.032 -0.03)80.08% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)31.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)67.39% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)69.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 36.9%
    Atalanta BC 34.69%
    Draw 28.4%
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.69%

How you voted: Bologna vs Atalanta

Bologna
58.9%
Draw
28.6%
Atalanta BC
12.5%
56
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
0-2
Bologna
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
0-1
Atalanta
Cisse (82')
Demiral (66')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna
Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')
Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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