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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 3-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
74.27% | 16.83% | 8.9% |
Both teams to score 42.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.36% | 44.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.57% | 10.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.99% | 34.01% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.16% | 52.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.45% | 86.55% |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-0 @ 14.08% 1-0 @ 12.46% 3-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 6% 4-1 @ 3.83% 5-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.22% 6-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.7% Total : 74.27% | 1-1 @ 7.95% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.5% Total : 16.83% | 0-1 @ 3.52% 1-2 @ 2.54% 0-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |