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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
52.61% | 24.25% | 23.14% |
Both teams to score 52.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.71% | 49.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% | 71.34% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.3% | 18.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.96% | 50.04% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% | 35.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% | 72.62% |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |