League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Sykes (27'), Taylor (38'), Long (60')
Kane (43'), Moore (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Csoka (62'), Woodyard (72'), Marsh (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

Two sides with contrasting fortunes so far this season, the form book points towards a comfortable Oxford win. While Wimbledon will likely be no pushovers, the playoff-chasing U's should have enough to edge past their London opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
59.14%	22.11%	18.75%

Both teams to score 52.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29%

45.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97%

68.03%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.91%

15.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.37%

43.63%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.77%

38.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25%

74.99%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 59.13%

AFC Wimbledon 18.75%

Draw 22.11%

Oxford United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 6.25% 4-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.13%	1-1 @ 10.49% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.55% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.75%