League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd2 - 3Wigan
We said: Oxford United 1-2 Wigan Athletic
Wigan do not depend on one player to win, and although the loss of Cousins will be felt, there is still plenty of quality personnel on this team that can get the job done. Oxford have been splendid at home this season, however, their depth and consistency is not as good as Wigan's, so we expect to see a determined Latics side, who know that this is their chance to take over the top spot with a game in hand on Rotherham. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 39.9% | 26.51% | 33.59% |
| Both teams to score 52.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
