Colchester1 - 2Wigan
We said: Colchester United 0-2 Wigan Athletic
Colchester have been much improved of late, something which should give them a fighting chance at the weekend. Nevertheless, Wigan should be far too strong, particularly in the defensive third, and we are backing the visitors to run out comfortable victors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 21.09% | 24.28% | 54.63% |
| Both teams to score 49.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% | 51.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% | 73.37% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% | 39.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.16% | 75.84% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% | 18.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.42% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.09% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 12.28% 0-2 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 5.37% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-4 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.62% |
