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Gillingham
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
Burton Albion

Gillingham
1 - 3
Burton Albion

McKenzie (3')
Tucker (25'), Dempsey (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hamer (50'), Brayford (79'), Smith (87')
Hamer (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Gillingham and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Burton Albion

Gillingham have struggled this season, and every game counts for them at the moment due to their position in the league table, adding pressure to this match. However, Burton Albion have showcased quality on a consistent basis, and that is something that should allow them to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawBurton Albion
25.82%26.84%47.34%
Both teams to score 47.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88%57.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%78%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22%37.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45%74.55%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53%58.47%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 25.82%
    Burton Albion 47.34%
    Draw 26.84%
GillinghamDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.42%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.82%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-3 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-4 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.34%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Burton Albion

Gillingham
30.0%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Burton Albion
1-1
Gillingham
Hemmings (46')
Oliver (18')
Tucker (40'), Ehmer (60')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
1-1
Gillingham
Broom (90')
Taylor (13'), Hemmings (45+1'), Earl (85'), Broom (90+1'), Fondop (90+1')
Graham (37')
MacDonald (39')
Jan 9, 2021 2pm
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Burton Albion
0-0
Gillingham
Sarkic (42'), O'Toole (76')
Sarkic (67')
Fuller (21'), Roberts (88')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Gillingham
1-2
Burton Albion
Cisse (7')
Broadhead (42', 45')
O'Toole (10'), Brayford (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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