League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
0 - 4
Ipswich

O'Keefe (63'), Phillips (69')
Phillips (73')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Norwood (9'), Burns (13'), Bonne (23'), Chaplin (85' pen.)
Donacien (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Gillingham and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Ipswich Town

We expect Saturday's encounter to be close, but the new manager bounce could prove significant, and we think that will help Ipswich to their fourth away league win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Ipswich Town
28.84%	26.6%	44.56%

Both teams to score 49.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.43%

54.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.08%

75.92%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06%

33.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39%

70.61%

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63%

24.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22%

58.78%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 28.84%

Ipswich Town 44.56%

Draw 26.59%

Gillingham	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.84%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.56%