Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
