Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.