Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.