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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Gillingham |
48.49% | 25.5% | 26% |
Both teams to score 51.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.04% | 51.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% | 73.7% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.56% | 21.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.54% | 54.45% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% | 34.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% | 71.54% |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.49% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.12% Total : 26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |