League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 32

Sep 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
6 - 0
UCD

Mullen (5'), Patching (46'), McJannett (54'), Kavanagh (69'), Duffy (76'), McGonigle (89')
McGonigle (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barr (31'), Myler (32'), Clancy (37'), Keaney (77')
Keaney (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

League of Ireland Premier

Last Game: Sligo 1-0 Derry
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

University College Dublin

All competitions

Last Game: UCD 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 90.1%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 4-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.51%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	University College Dublin
90.1% ( -0.74)	7.46% ( 0.53)	2.43% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 33.33% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.01% (

-1.5)

28.98% (

1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.04% (

-1.87)

49.95% (

1.86)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.11% (

-0.35)

3.88% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.5% (

-1.15)

16.5% (

1.15)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.67% (

0.29)

65.32% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.86% (

0.12)

93.14% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Derry City 90.1%

University College Dublin 2.43%

Draw 7.46%

Derry City	Draw	University College Dublin
3-0 @ 14.49% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.49) 5-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.35) 5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 7-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.22) 6-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 4.23% Total : 90.1%	1-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 7.46%	0-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.35% Total : 2.43%