Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 78.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-2 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.