Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.