Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.