Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 13.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Gamba Osaka
68.41% ( -0.04)	18.57% ( 0.04)	13.01% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.04% (

-0.2)

40.96% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.65% (

-0.2)

63.35% (

0.2)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.06% (

-0.07)

10.94% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.85% (

-0.15)

35.15% (

0.14)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.19% (

-0.13)

42.8% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.87% (

-0.11)

79.13% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 68.41%

Gamba Osaka 13.01%

Draw 18.57%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Gamba Osaka
2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.41%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.57%	0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.01%